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Upcoming News for this Week:- FOMC, RBA, BOE FOMC The FOMC increased rates by 75bps increasing the Fed Funds rate from 1.75% to 2.50%. The statement confirmed that spending and production were soft, however job increase remain strong. The Fed put softer data aside by saying that it anticipates ongoing increase in the Fed Funds rate. It was announced by the Fed Chairman Powell that the rate decisions will be made on a meeting to meeting basis which depends on the incoming data. On one side it was announced that another unusual large market rate hike could be expected and it could also be possible to slow down the rate hikes to get more restrictive. For now the Fed is data dependent. IF the labor markets continue to be strong, the Fed will continue hiking. If there are cracks in the labor market, the Fed may pull back the pace of rate hikes. Read More : Daily & Weekly Analysis On Xtreamforex

The US Economy || US rate hike cycle concludes in 2022 Last week was very active for global rebirth in risk appetite despite a run of data which pointed to deteriorating US economic growth. This is because the softer tone of US data and the FOMC’s acceptance of it implies a reducing risk of the rate hikes in excess of those already increased. Increasing the rate hike for the second time to a mid-point of 2.375%, Chair Powell showed a greater degree of comfort over the outlook for inflation in the July press conference. In part this stems from 2.375% being within the 2.3% interest rate range th FOMC believe to be neutral for their economy. However, the greater comfort of inflation is also a consequence of building apprehension over the outlook for growth. The press conference also made clear that the FOMC wish to undertake “just the right amount of tightening” to bring about below trend growth, not to make mistake by creating the pre conditions for recession. Read More : Daily & Weekly Analysis On Xtreamforex

The FOMC raised rates by 75 bps which was widely expected As widely expected, the Federal Open Market Committee raised the range of its target for the the federal funds rate by 75 bps, which brings the top end of the range to 2.50%. There was widespread support for another supersized rate increase-the FOMC raised rates by 75 bps at its last meeting in June. The FOMC has now hiked rates by 225 bps since March, this much increase never happened in past 40 years. In todays decision, the committee again pointed to that fact that inflation remains high. For sure the YoY rate of CPI inflation rose from 8/6% in May to 9.1% in June, which was higher then others, and likely most FOMC members, had expected at the time. The statement also repeated that “the committee is strongly committed to returning inflation to its 2 percent objective”. This sentence, which was used previously in the June statement, in connection with the unanimous vote to raise rates by another 75bps today, indicates that inflation remains forefront in the minds of most FOMC members. Read More : Daily & Weekly Analysis On Xtreamforex

AUD Second Quarter Increase | Xtreamforex In the second quarter of 2022 Australian inflation data has increased to 6.1%, but below the agreed expectations relaxing the fear of a surprising 75bp rate increase when the RBA has a meeting next week. CPI rose by 1.8% Quarter On Quarter(QoQ) and 6.1% Year On Year(YoY). This was the highest increase since the introduction of the Goods and Services tax in the beginning of 2000. The RBA’s preferred measure of inflation, increased by 1.4% Quarter On Quarter and 4.9% Year On Year, which was above the market expectations of 1.2% QoQ and 4.7% YoY. Necessary inflation is now 190bp above the top of the RBA’s 2-3% target band, and the yearly trimmed means was highest since the ABS first published the series back in 2003. Read Full : Daily & Weekly Analysis On Xtreamforex

This Weeks’s currency pair, EURUSD The ECB hike of last week is the highest hike in past 11 years which brought the interest rate from -0.50% to 0.00%. Further normalization of interest is appropriate, indicating that there will be another hike from ECM on their next meeting on 8th September. Another new program was introduced by the committee of new bond buying called Transmission Protection Instrument to be used if it is needed. TPI will allow ECB to buy bonds in any country which is in Eurozone whose yields may be surging due to unwarranted financial conditions. Last weeks poor PMI data to the Eurozone with European PMIs showing that manufacturing was slowing. A number of country’s manufacturing readings fell below the 50 level, indicating manufacturing activity is in contractionary territory. For the Eurozone as a whole, the flash Manufacturing PMI was 49.6 vs 52.1 previously, while the flash Services PMI was 50.6 vs 53 previously. This brought the composite number down to 49.4 from 52 in June. On Monday, Germany released its Ifo Business Climate. The reading was 88.6 vs 90.2 in June. The expectations component fell from 85.5 in June to 80.3 in July, its lowest level since April 2020. This seemly confirmed the PMI data. This week EU will release its flash CPI for July. Expectations are for 8.6% YoY vs 8.6% YoY previously. The core CPI is expected to go up 3.8% YoY from 3.7% YoY previously. If this print continues higher, the ECB will have some bring decisions to make. The FOMC meets today and tomorrow to discuss interest rate policy. Expectations are that the committee will raise rates by 75bps, which will bring the Fed Funds rate from 1.75% to 2.50%. The last CPI reading for the US was 9.1% YoY. On Friday, PMI data of US was released. The Manufacturing component was 52.3 vs 52.7 in June. EUR/USD has been moving in a lower channel since Feb 2022. It began moving aggressively by mid-June when it was at 1.1500 and reached 1.0340 which was the low since Jan 2017 but couldn’t break through. On July 14th it broke the level of 1.0000 since then the pair has been consolidating mid-range near 1.0250 as tomorrow’s FOMC meeting looms. Read Full : Daily & Weekly Analysis On Xtreamforex

EUR/USD – Euro US Dollar Last week the European currency showed a slight growth to a high of 1.0272. Reason behind this was the most banal corrective rebound of EUR/USD breaking the equality level of 1.0000, the bottom at 0.9951 on 14th of July, the resumption of Russian gas supplies to Europe and the most important expectation of a rise in the euro interest rate of 50bp. This happened in reality for the first time in past 13 years. The explanation given by ECB of the rate normalization was, obvious and consists of an updated assessment of inflation growth and the announcement from ECB for the launch of a new instrument which is the TPI. Read Full : Daily & Weekly Analysis On Xtreamforex

European Central Bank Interest Rates The European Central Bank also joined the global rate hike on yesterdays announcement, announcing a larger then expected 50 bps deposit rate increase, to 0.00%. The ECB said a further normalization of interest rates could be expected at upcoming meetings. ECB also approved the Transmission Protection Instrument, a tool aimed at supporting orderly conditions across Eurozone, in particular the region’s peripheral makets such as Italy and Spain. Full details are not released yet, and the scale of TPI purchases depends on the severity of the risks facing policy transmission. Read Full : Daily & Weekly Analysis On Xtreamforex

Signs of Disinflation Continue There are some promising signs on the inflation data which is released today for UK and Canada. UK producers lower the prices to 1.8%, which is the disinflation in the third consecutive month. Core CPI also showed to 0.4$ m/m which is also its third straight month on disinflation. Canada’s producer prices also reduced -1.1% in June, first reduction since Aug 2021 and when it was on fast pace in May 2020. The annual rate peaking in April 2022 at 18.1% could be attributed to basing effects, it is good to see the m/m PPI prints trending their way into contraction. Expectation is lower PPI going forward. As producer prices are an input for consumer prices, it is a good news for consumers. Read Full News : Daily & Weekly Analysis On Xtreamforex

What is expected in BOJ meeting Bank Of Japan next meeting on Thursday on interest rate decision. Many countries are aggressively increasing the rates to put brakes on inflation. The BOJ is unlikely to do anything, as inflation rate sits at 2.5%. EUR/JPY had been moving higher since 7th of March 2022. The pair began moving higher in an upward slop channel as inflation began to rise in Europe. EUR/JPY pulled back because Euro got hit across the board. On the 5th of July, the pair broke below the upward sloping channel and pulled back to 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level from the lows of March 7th to highs of June 28th,as well as horizontal support, near 136.70. The support held on and EUR/JPY has gone bid for the last 5 days. EUR/Jpy is currently up against resistance of 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level from the June 28th highs to July 8th lows near 141.44. This is also the top trendline of a short-term channel the pair has been in since July 12th . If price breaks above the channel, the next resistance level is at the July 5th highs of 142.37. EUR/JPY can move up to test the June 28th highs at 144.28. The RSI is in overbought territory, an indication that the pair may be ready for a pullback. If EUR/JPY does move lower, the first support is the bottom of the channel trendline near 140.05. Below there, horizontal support sits at 138.80, then the lows from July 8th near 136.86. Read Full News : Daily & Weekly Analysis On Xtreamforex

All eyes on Europe – Huge volatility expected in EU equities The platform is set to start the new week on a positive footing after the solid retail sales last Friday. The index of US500 closed retail at absolute highs after the Friday gain of 1.9% which brought the loss on the week to 1%- the bulls need the index to break 3950, which could set off the trend and look at the short position in CFTC report, if the rally of Friday continues. If it happens, we can see some systematic players cover short and propelling the market higher. The impact that may have an options market makers too and the need to buy back delta hedges is also there. The earnings of US in this week with 14% of the US500 market cap reporting could get Netflix and Tesla workout from clients. Read Full News : Daily & Weekly Analysis On Xtreamforex

CPI Hits Another Four-Decade High USD rises USD rises as CPI hits another four decade high, data shows the headline consumer inflation accelerated once again in June to the highest level since 1981,US consumer inflation hit the high of 41 years and beat the forecast, 9.1% in June against 8.6% one month earlier and expected increase to 8.8%. The above data resulted in a clear jump of USD and then falling back 100 points. Trader’s speculation increases that the Fed should do more than what is already done and suppress inflation. As mentioned above after the report, markets priced in two more 75 point rate hikes, June’s hike was extraordinary. Read Full News : Daily & Weekly Analysis On Xtreamforex

Dollar Index Looks Unstoppable now On Friday afternoon the new highs rose to 107.6, on the start of European trading session it went 107.45. Since Oct 2002 this was the highest rate and the index added around 20% to its 2021 low. This is a positive secondary effect for the US(strengthening of dollar), reducing inflationary pressures through imports to ending the talk of dollar weakness that has been prevalent since late 2020. Central bankers are not welcome too sharp fluctuations in any direction, however they are ignoring the exchange rate against any other currency. Read Full News : Daily & Weekly Analysis on XtreamForex

Euro above parity by a thread It looks like July 2022 could be a memorable month for euro, but unfortunately not for the right reasons. EUR/USD is within a risk of dropping below parity with USD since 2002, at that time EUR was just three years old. In North American session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.008, down 1.00%. The euro and all other majors are seeing red against USD today. This is because of the surprisingly strong non-farm payroll report on Friday, the June gain if 381 thousand surpassed the May reading of 336 thousand and easily beat the sonsesus of 240 thousand. The unemployment rate is at 3.6%, while wage growth grew by 0.3%. The solid employment report has raised expectations of another 75bn hike by the Fed by the end of July. The ECB will hold its policy meeting on 21st July six days ahead of Federal Reserve. The ECB hike rate is expected to be lift off in this meeting, and another increase is expected in September. ECB interest rates are in negative territory, and a modest 0.25% hike, the most likely scenario at the July meeting, may not be much of a boost to euro, however the perception that the ECB finally tightening will provide some support to the ailing currency. Read Full News : Daily & Weekly Analysis on XtreamForex

UK PM Boris Johnson says he will resign After several of high profile cabinet member. Resigned, PM Boris said he will resign from his current positions, until the new leader, who will take place on. Next month till than he will stay on his current position. On press conference Boris said he will step down as conservative party leader and prime minister. UK PM Boris Johnson will stay till the new conservative leader is elected. On the other side, opposition wants him to leave as UK head of government immediately. The decisions come after PM was abandoned by newly appointed ministers. Main key event after Boris Johnson resignation: After numerous scandals rocked Boris administration and pressure mounted from conservative party colleagues. Boris resigns from his position. He will step down. Once his replacement is chosen. Leadership race is already begun and victor will replace Johnson in October. Labor party leader Keir Starmer demands no-confidence vote if UK PM Boris Johnson doesn’t step down immediately. Read Full News : Daily & Weekly Analysis on XtreamForex

Euro Price Action Setups: EUR/USD, EUR/JPY, EUR/CHF, USD/GBP AUD: AIG Services Index, it measures level of a diffusion index based on surveyed service-based companies. AUD: Trade Balance, it measures difference in value between imported and exported goods and services during the reported month. JPY: 30-y Bond Auction, it measures average yield on a 30-year bond the government sold at auction, and the bid-to-cover ratio of the auction. JPY: Leading Indicators, it measures level of a composite index based on 11 economic indicators. CHF: Unemployment Rate, it measures percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment during the previous month. EUR : German Industrial Production m/m, it measures change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities. GBP: Halifax HPI m/m, it measures change in the price of homes financed by HBOS. CHF: Foreign Currency Reserves, it measures total value of foreign currency reserves held by the SNB. EUR: ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts, It’s a detailed record of the ECB Governing Board’s most recent meeting, providing in-depth insights into the economic conditions that influenced their decision on where to set interest rates. USD: Challenger Job Cuts y/y, it measures change in the number of job cuts announced by employers. CAD: Trade Balance, it measures difference in value between imported and exported goods during the reported month. USD: Unemployment Claims, it measures number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time during the past week. USD: Trade Balance, it measures difference in value between imported and exported goods and services during the reported month. GBP: MPC Member Mann Speaks, BOE MPC members vote on where to set the nation’s key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy. CAD: Ivey PMI, it measures level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers. USD: Natural Gas Storage, it measures change in the number of cubic feet of natural gas held in underground storage during the past week. USD: FOMC Member Bullard Speaks, Federal Reserve FOMC members vote on where to set the nation’s key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy. Read Full News : Daily & Weekly Analysis on XtreamForex

Australian Dollar Under Pressure as Technical Levels Are in View. Where to for AUD/USD? JPY: Monetary Base y/y, it measures change in the total quantity of domestic currency in circulation and current account deposits held at the BOJ. AUD: MI Inflation Gauge m/m, it measures change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers. AUD: ANZ Job Advertisements m/m, it measures change in the number of jobs advertised in the major daily newspapers and websites covering the capital cities. AUD: Building Approvals m/m, it measures change in the number of new building approvals issued. EUR: German Trade Balance, it measures difference in value between imported and exported goods during the reported month. CHF: CPI m/m, it measures change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers. EUR: Spanish Unemployment Change, it measures change in the number of unemployed people during the previous month. EUR: Sentix Investor Confidence, it measures level of a diffusion index based on surveyed investors and analysts. EUR: PPI m/m, it measures change in the price of finished goods and services sold by producers. EUR: German Buba President Nagel Speaks, ECB Governing Council members vote on where to set the Eurozone’s key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy. Read Full News : Daily & Weekly Analysis on XtreamForex

Worst Quarter for Metals Cap since 2008 due to Global Recession Base metals experienced their greatest quarterly decline since the global financial crisis of 2008 as worries about a worldwide recession increased and China’s economy very slowly recovered. Although the decrease has been accentuated by price spikes that month as a result of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the London Metal Exchange Index has fallen 25% since the end of March. Tin has fared the worst, falling 38%, followed by a 31% decline in aluminium and a 20% decline in copper. Since the beginning of the epidemic, it was the entire index’s first quarterly decrease. According to ED&F Man analyst Edward Meir’s metals research, “markets have been battered by both growth and inflation worries for some time now and are not getting any relief from G-7 central bankers, the majority of which are set on rising interest rates further.” As virus controls were relaxed, an indicator of factory activity in China increased in June for the first time since February. Although there was some recovery, the demand for metals is still being negatively impacted by a sluggish real estate market. Despite a reduction of quarantine regulations, the Covid Zero policy is still in place, thus there is a persistent potential of more limitations if case numbers increase once more. The market is still threatened by the impending possibility of a recession in the US and possibly elsewhere in the world. At the annual meeting of the European Central Bank in Portugal, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and other central bankers cautioned that the globe is transitioning to a regime of greater inflation. Read Full News : Daily & Weekly Analysis on XtreamForex

U.S. stocks failed to change much as the quarter end approaches As investors analyzed remarks made by central bankers at a panel in Europe and anticipated more quarterly profit reports, U.S. stocks ended the day with no movement. On Wednesday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 82.32 points, or 0.3%, to 31029.31. The NASDAQ Composite Index dropped 3.65 points, or 0.03 percent, to 11177.89, while the S&P 500 dropped 2.72 points, or less than 0.1 percent, to 3818.83. The market is having a brutal first half after three years in a row of double-digit increases. The S&P 500 has lost roughly 20 percent of its value so far this year, making it likely that this will be its worst first half in fifty years. Rising interest rates and sluggish growth are two factors that have a negative impact on stock prices. Stocks have also been affected by the swift return of inflation, a faltering Chinese economy, and a conflict in Ukraine that startled the commodity markets. Before the second half of the year begins on Friday, investors need to reorganise, according to State Street managing director Michael Arone. As the Fourth of July and the first half came to an end, he added, “We’re limping.” Investors should take comfort in the fact that a poor first half does not imply a poor second half. The S&P 500 experienced a first-half decline of 21% and a second-half gain of 27% in 1970, concluding the year approximately level. As a result of a number of data releases showing that increased prices are dampening consumer optimism, stocks started the week on a low note. Investors continued to worry that if central banks tightened policy too quickly to combat inflation, it may trigger a recession. At the European Central Bank’s annual economic policy conference in Portugal, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said the epidemic had disturbed the economy in ways that could continue to generate more inflation or volatility in pricing pressures than previously. Is there a chance that we might go too far? There is unquestionably a risk, Mr. Powell remarked on Wednesday. “Failing to restore pricing stability would be the worse mistake to make, to put it that way,” Some investors are losing faith in the Fed’s ability to arrange a “soft landing,” in which interest rates increase to combat inflation without causing the economy to enter a recession. “Until we have a strong indication that inflation has peaked, we anticipate markets will at best remain stable. Our belief in a soft landing has diminished even further, and the market is moving in that direction as well, according to Pictet Asset Management multiasset strategist Arun Sai. After three straight days of advances, the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note decreased to 3.091% from 3.206 percent on Tuesday. Prices increase as yields decrease. Investors are anticipating more corporate profit reports as the second quarter draws to a close. Even though FactSet projects a relatively small 5.8 percent increase in S&P 500 company earnings, early misses raise doubts about that estimate. The market has been rattled by some earnings reports, according to Andrew Slimmon, a portfolio manager at Morgan Stanley Investment Management. “I assumed we’d see a rally into month-end,” he said. Bed Bath & Beyond, a retailer, provided an example of the point on Wednesday. After the company reported a larger quarterly loss than Wall Street anticipated and announced the departure of its chief executive, the shares dropped $1.54, or 24 percent, to $4.99. Read Full News : Daily & Weekly Analysis on XtreamForex

Over the past 24 hours, crude oil prices increased while gold prices decreased Over the past 24 hours, gold prices have been trending marginally lower as crude oil prices managed to end the day positively. An increase in the US dollar, which resulted from risk aversion as the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 fell more than 3 percent, put pressure on the anti-fiat yellow metal. For gold, it might have been a lot worse. The flight to safety caused Treasury yields to decline, which increased the appeal of XAU/USD. In June, the US Conference Board’s consumer confidence index fell to 98.7 from 100 expected. This represents a decline from 103.2 in May and a 16-month low. Concerns about inflation keep eroding Americans’ perceptions of the economy. Although respondents appeared to be planning to buy more durable products in the future, their desire for leisure (travel) fell with rising prices. Despite the deteriorating mood, the price of crude oil managed to hold steady. An OPEC+ delegate reported that the oil-producing coalition fell 2.7 million barrels per day short of its output goal in May. This might be restricting supplies and giving WTI an upward push. However, rising concerns about a slowdown in global growth have made the situation for energy prices more difficult. Commodities will be watching a flood of central bank speech during the next 24 hours. At the ECB forum in Sintra, a panel discussion will take place. Fed Chair Jerome Powell and ECB President Christine Lagarde are scheduled to speak. Market mood may suffer if authorities restate their hawkish viewpoints, thereby depressing the price of gold and crude oil. Read Full News : Daily & Weekly Analysis on XtreamForex

UAE claims it has no spare capacity, oil prices jump by 1% The energy minister of the United Arab Emirates stated that the country is producing near capacity, defying expectations that this could assist boost supply in a tight market. As a result, oil prices increased by nearly 1% in early Asian trade on Tuesday. According to some estimates, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates are the only two OPEC members with extra capacity to make up for lost Russian supplies and subpar performance from other members. At 00:28 GMT, US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude CLc1 futures increased $1.07, or 1%, to $110.64 a barrel, building on a prior session rise of 1.8 percent. The price of Brent oil LCOc1 futures increased $1.08, or 0.9 percent, to $116.17 a barrel, following a prior session increase of 1.7 percent. “The market was helped by rumours of a seam of restricted supply. According to reports, the capacity limits for two key producers, Saudi Arabia and the UAE, are being reached or will soon be reached “Tobin Gorey, a commodities analyst at Commonwealth Bank, stated in a note. According to its quota of 3.168 million barrels per day (bpd) under the deal with OPEC and its allies, collectively known as OPEC+, the UAE’s energy minister Suhail al-Mazrouei stated on Monday that the country was producing at or close to its full capacity. His statements corroborated those of French President Emmanuel Macron, who told US President Joe Biden outside the Group of Seven meeting that Saudi Arabia could only increase output by 150,000 bpd, well below its nominal spare capacity of about 2 million bpd, and that the UAE was operating at maximum capacity. Analysts also noted that political upheaval in Libya and Ecuador could further constrain supply. Libya’s National Oil Corp said on Monday that if oil terminal production and shipping don’t pick up within the next three days, it may be necessary to declare force majeure in the Gulf of Sirte region. According to Ecuador’s Energy Ministry, due to anti-government demonstrations, the nation may fully halt oil production over the next two days. Before the demonstrations, the former OPEC nation was producing about 520,000 barrels per day. Read Full News : Daily & Weekly Analysis on XtreamForex

Gold prices increase as ban on new Russian imports Gold prices rose on Monday as speculation grew that some Western countries could formally forbid the import of the metal from Russia in response to that country’s invasion of Ukraine. By 0231 GMT, spot gold increased 0.5 percent to $1,835.58 per ounce. At $1,836.30, U.S. gold futures were up 0.3 percent. The G-7’s import embargo on Russian gold appears to be giving early Asian markets some short-term assistance. “However, in practise for the grouping, it is largely a rubber stamp exercise, and I do not expect this to reflect a structural change in the supply/demand outlook that will underpin pricing.” In an effort to put more pressure on Moscow and eliminate its sources of funding for the invasion of Ukraine, four of the wealthy Group of Seven (G-7) countries decided to outlaw the import of Russian gold on Sunday. According to Stephen Innes, managing partner at SPI Asset Management, “the headline will be rapidly absorbed, and the market should return to its tug of war between higher front-end rates, negative for gold, and recession odds suggesting sooner rate reduction, positive for gold.” Even as markets hailed economic data showing inflation expectations to be less worrying than initially thought, a couple of U.S. central bankers indicated on Friday they favoured future strong rate hikes to curb rapid price increases. Although gold is regarded as an inflation hedge, owning bullion, which pays no interest, has a higher opportunity cost as interest rates rise. Overall, gold is still stuck in the $1,780-$1,880 range that has been in place since early May. To change this dynamic, Halley added, the U.S. dollar must make a significant directional shift. Read Full News : Daily & Weekly Analysis on XtreamForex

Fears about economy is growing as Wall Street’s hiring frenzy eases After a hiring frenzy last year, Wall Street is slowing down due to the growing uncertainty around the U.S. economic future and the ensuing decline in the financial markets. In 2021 and early this year, Wall Street firms, including banks like Citigroup Inc, JPMorgan Chase & Co, and Wells Fargo & Co, were obliged to pay more to attract and keep employees due to fierce hiring competition. The increase in bonuses was the biggest in 15 years. However, hiring fever is waning, according to executives, recruitment experts, and recent data. According to Alan Johnson, managing director of compensation consultancy firm Johnson Associates, “by the end of 2021 it was white hot with unprecedented demand for employment and pay.” “It’s changing swiftly from extremely hot to normal, and by the end of the year it might even turn cold. Undoubtedly, a change is taking place.” According to the most recent U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics data, firms in the securities, commodity contracts, investments, funds, and trusts sector were still adding jobs, but the rate of growth was noticeably slower in May, adding only 1,200 positions as opposed to 4,600 in April. In contrast, the industry experienced its largest annual headcount growth since 2000 in 2021, when the monthly average was 3,400. In light of the weakening global markets, some clients have paused some talent searches, according to Alberto Mirabal, senior vice president for investment banking at the recruitment firm GQR Global Markets. These clients want to “see how things shake out” before adding to their already sizable teams. We’re observing a little slowness, he added. Some Wall Street firms are concerned about the possibility of a recession due to rising inflation that has been compounded by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and subsequent interest rate increases. Layoffs are already happening in several areas of the banking sector, most notably the mortgage sector, which is especially vulnerable to interest rate increases that harm house sales. According to Bloomberg, JPMorgan Chase & Co. is this week reassigning hundreds of workers from its home loan division and firing hundreds more. The industry is not yet experiencing widespread hiring freezes or layoffs, the recruiters claimed, although in general. In addition, some smaller companies, such as boutique investment bank Lazard, are trying to seize the opportunity presented by the evolving market to attract top personnel for themselves. After 2021, which he described as being the most difficult in a decade for staff retention and remuneration, Lazard Chief Executive Kenneth Jacobs claimed that a hiring slowdown was assisting his company in attracting new talent. Jacobs stated last week at a Morgan Stanley conference that “the rivalry for talent is lessening.” “I believe we’ll try to profit from this.” Equity capital markets have experienced the sharpest reduction in activity; according to Julian Bell is the managing director and head of the Americas for the Sheffield Haworth talent firm. Broker-dealers will suffer more than full-service banks as a result, according to this. According to him, brokers in the main equities capital markets sectors of healthcare/biotech and technology will suffer the most. Investment bankers are not worried about impending layoffs, despite the fact that hiring is decreasing and salary expectations have decreased following an extraordinarily robust payout in 2021.

Stocks decline as Wall Street’s effort at a rally fails As markets struggled to maintain a recovery from earlier in the day, stocks modestly declined on Wednesday in turbulent trading. Traders also considered remarks made by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, who reaffirmed the position of the central bank in battling inflation. In the last hour of trade, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 47.12 points, or 0.15 percent, to 30,483.13. To 3,759.89, the S&P 500 fell 0.13 percent. To 11,053.08, the NASDAQ Composite dropped 0.15 percent. Stock prices have recently been affected by growing fears of a Wall Street slump. On Wednesday, Fed Chair Powell testified before Congress that the Fed has the “resolve” to rein in inflation, which has risen to 40-year highs. The Fed chairman told the Senate Banking Committee, “At the Fed, we realise the suffering high inflation is inflicting. “We are acting quickly to bring inflation back down because we are strongly committed to doing so.” Until it sees “compelling evidence that inflation is heading down,” Powell continued, the Fed will maintain its current trajectory. He added that it has grown “much more difficult” to provide a smooth landing for the economy without one. The Federal Reserve increased interest rates by 0.75 percentage points last week and warned that a similar hike could occur again the following month. Investors were alarmed by the central bank’s previous week change to a more aggressive stance against inflation, fearing that it would prefer a recession to continued high inflation. Jerome Powell has made it clearly apparent that the Fed will keep raising interest rates until inflation starts to decline because inflation is still the largest risk to financial assets. Robert Schein, chief investment officer at Blanke Schein Wealth Management, wrote that a sustained rally for risk assets is difficult to envision until that time. Till the Fed gives the go-ahead, “tight monetary conditions will continue to be a headwind for financial markets,” Schein said. This week on Wall Street, anticipation of an impending recession grew. According to evidence showing that consumers are beginning to cut down on spending, Citigroup increased the likelihood of a worldwide recession to 50%. The cumulative probability of recession is now approaching 50%, according to a note from Citigroup. “The experience of history indicates that disinflation generally bears considerable costs for growth,” the paper stated. According to Goldman Sachs, the risks are “greater and more front-loaded,” making a recession for the American economy more likely. The Fed will feel compelled to respond forcefully to high headline inflation and consumer inflation expectations if energy prices continue to rise, even if activity slows sharply, the firm said in a note to clients. “The main reasons are that our baseline growth path is now lower and that we are increasingly concerned.” In the meantime, UBS stated in a note to clients on Tuesday that while in its base scenario it does not anticipate a U.S. or global recession in 2022 or 2023, “it is obvious that the possibilities of a hard landing are rising.” Read Full News : Daily & Weekly Analysis on XtreamForex