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  1. Yesterday
  2. GBP/USD: UK policy is in the driver’s seat, BoE also center of attention GBP/USD has been fairly steady on the day so far in a quiet start to the week following a significant correction on Friday with demand for the US Dollar, which has been heavily bid at the start of the year. So far, the cable is trading near 1.3680 in a tight range between 1.3661 and 1.3676. £ could find comfort this week on the UK Gross Domestic Product which was released on Friday and beat expectations. The data suggest that Omicron’s impact on growth is likely to be modest in the end. In information of late, Prime Minister Boris Johnson may also scrap his plan-B Covid limit in England, the Telegraph on Friday. This ought to underpin the pound, ultimately, because of potentialities of competitive hawkish moves from the Bank of England. Data may be eyed for heading again to round pre-pandemic ranges and inflation may be monitored. However, UK political occasions withinside the UK ought to hamstring the pound as Prime Minister Boris Johnson is going through calls – additionally from withinside the Conservative birthday birthday celebration – to resign. The PM admitted he participated at a meeting in Downing Street in May 2020, whilst strict containment guidelines had been in place (Partygate). Labour has argued that the PM may also scrap the covid limit to distract from Partygate. Read Full News : Daily & Weekly Analysis on XtreamForex
  3. Last week
  4. XAU/USD bulls point to further US dollar weakness Potential catalysts for the day ahead will come during the US session with New York Fed President John Williams and retail sales in the United States. The Fed will then enter a shutdown until its next interest rate decision later this month. This makes the US data the proof. TD Securities analysts explain that retail sales are likely to decline in December, even as higher prices have boosted nominal values. “Spending may be dampened by the disappearance of fiscal stimulus, an earlier-than-normal recovery of holiday shopping and Omicron. We are looking for a notable drop in total revenue of 1.4% month-on-month (consensus: 0.1%) and a larger decrease of 2.0% for the control group (consensus level: 0.1%) consensus: unchanged). Real and nominal spending remained strong QoQ and strong YoY dollars. XAU/USD is trading around $1,820 and down around 0.1% as the DXY index attempts to correct its late-December lows until the current financial year’s sell-off. US$ as measured by the DXY Index, sold off from 96.90 to a recent low of 94.66. For weeks, XAU/USD is up more than 4%. However, in what could be a more technical move, the yellow metal failed to capitalize on falling US yields and the greenback on Thursday. DXY fell 0.4% and the US 10-year yield fell 2.5 basis points to 1.718%. “The persistently weak US dollar failed to lift gold prices as investors expressed concerns about the Fed’s hawkish move to contain inflation,” said analysts at ANZ Bank. However, that won’t explain why the greenback and yields continue to fall. Instead, the bond market appears to be reassessing the pace of the Fed’s balance sheet liquidation following less hawkish rhetoric from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell and Fed Chairman Philly Patrick Harker. On Thursday, Harker said he sees the Fed beginning to shrink its balance sheet “in late 2022 or early 2023” after the central bank raised its target interest rate enough, to about 1% from level close to zero. The comments echo those of Powell, who said the Fed could begin shrinking its balance sheet later this year during a confirmation hearing before the Senate Banking Committee. “At some point, maybe later this year, we’re going to start to see the balance sheet collapse, and that’s just the path to policy normalization,” he said, adding that the US economy “no longer needs or wants” the Fed. policy is very appropriate. Read Full News : Daily & Weekly Analysis on XtreamForex
  5. EUR/USD swings between 1.1400 as ECB-Fed fight intensifies after US inflation EUR/USD is balanced around the highest level since mid-November early Thursday morning in Europe. Major currency pairs made the biggest jump in 5 weeks the previous day as the US dollar fell to multi-day lows as inflation data matched expectations, causing market challenges causing the US dollar to drop to multi-day lows. There will be less ammo when they meet on Jan. 25. That suggests, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) hit its highest level since 1982 while still hitting a forecast of 7.0% year-over-year, down from 6.8% in previous readings. The monthly figures stood at 0.5% vs 0.4% expected but fell below 0.8% previously. However, Fed policymakers have reiterated their bullish bias following the release of inflation data, thus stressing EUR/USD bulls in recent times. . The Chairman of the Federal Reserve St. Louis James Bullard was the first to declare, according to the Wall Street Journal (WSJ), “four rate hikes in 2022 appear to be on the cards and, in the face of high inflation, and one in March seems very likely. Then a member of the Fed’s Board of Governors and the new FOMC vice president, Lael Brainard, also mentioned: signaled a rate hike as early as March. On the other hand, European Central Bank (ECB) decision maker François Villeroy de Galhau states: “We are very close to the peak of inflation. It should be noted that industrial production in the euro area increased 2.3% month-on-month in November from previously revised 0.5% and 1.3% forecasts. With the recent escalation of pressure on Fed policymakers, bond yields consolidate previous losses, raising questions about equity futures and assets more risky. However, a large number of policymakers from the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Fed will speak on Thursday, thus providing an active day for EUR/USD traders. In addition to monetary policy signals, the US Producer Price Index (PPI) for December and weekly jobless claims, along with the European Economic Bulletin, will also lead the pair’s moves Short-term. Read Full News : Daily & Weekly Analysis on XtreamForex
  6. USA T-bond yields, S&P 500 Futures portray pre-Inflation anxiety Global markets began to slow on Wednesday as key US inflation cautious sentiment probed earlier optimism fueled by US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. The risk appetite also defies concerns about the coronavirus with links to South Africa, specifically Omicron, as well as CPI/PPI data from China, not to mention the World Bank’s 2022 economic forecast. While portraying the mood, 10-year US Treasury yields remained under pressure around 1.741% as 2-year yields fell for the second day in a row, down 1.2 basis points (bps). closest near 0.887. In addition, the future S & P 500 is struggling to keep up with Wall Street’s profits, unchanging about 4,705 at the press time. Two key measures of China’s inflation eased December and tested already sluggish markets later this year. That said, the overall Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell below 1.8% forecast and 2.3% ahead of 1.5% year-on-year, while last month’s index also fell. down 0.3% from +0.2% expected and +0.4% from previous readings. In addition, ex-factory inflation, production price index (PPI), also dropped below 11.1% expected and 12.9% earlier, to 10 3% compared to the same period last year for December. On the other hand, a new record of daily fallopian tube infections in Australia and an announcement of a public health emergency in Washington DC are also probing risk takers. In addition, the increase in virus cases in China, recently 166 cases compared to 110 cases a day earlier, is adding to commercial filters. Elsewhere, negative economic forecasts from the World Bank (WB) also challenged previous market optimism. The World Bank cited the coronavirus issue as lowering its global GDP expectations for 2022 to 4.1% from 4.3% previously estimated. The World Bank also cut its economic forecasts for the United States and China, by 0.5% to 3.7%, and 0.3% to 5.1%, respectively, for 2022. Read Full News : Daily & Weekly Analysis on XtreamForex
  7. Earlier
  8. AUD / USD approaches 0.7200 as risk sentiment joins Australian mixed data The AUD / USD hit a daily high near 0.7185 as mixed data at home added to the market’s cautious optimism to challenge immediate action early on Tuesday. 4,444 Australia’s retail sales exceeded expectations of 3.9%, 4.9% exceeded 7.3% MoM and the trade balance reached 9423 million. Details suggest that both exports and imports rose to 2.0% and 6.0 on the order of 3.0%. %, each. Data aside, the cautious optimism of the market considering the risk barometer status of the pair can also be cited as an additional catalyst for the recent rise in the AUD / USD pair. The limited comments of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell can be seen as a major risk of risk sentiment, according to the comments prepared for today’s testimony. “The economy is growing faster than it was a few years ago, and the labor market is resilient,” the Federal Reserve said, strengthening his promise to prevent high inflation. In addition, comments on Merck’s official slogan, “Any variant of Covid, where the Molnupiravir mechanism expects to counter Omicron,” can be quoted as positive for risk-taking. According to the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis’ (FRED) 10-year breakeven inflation rate, stable inflation expectations in the United States are also challenging bears ahead of key US consumer price index (CPI) data in December. It’s worth noting. In these developments, US equity futures have recorded a slight rise, while 10-year Treasury yields have raised their previous day’s pullback by 2.3 basis points (bps) from the previous year’s highs to 1.757% at the latest. I’m pulling it up. Read Full News : Daily & Weekly Analysis on XtreamForex
  9. USD/JPY remains sluggish around 115.50 amid Japan decline USD/JPY is hovering around 115.60 as holidays in Japan and lack of major data/events limited the pair’s move during Monday’s Asian session. Besides the lack of domestic companies, which are key to the global bond market, mixed concerns about the next move by the Fed and the coronavirus are also limiting the pair’s latest moves on the risk barometer. The US Dollar Index (DXY) posted its biggest daily loss in six weeks after the December jobs report failed to impress Fed advocates. That said, US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) disappointed markets with 199k numbers for December versus previous 400k and 249k forecasts (upgraded from 210k) thousand). However, the unemployment rate fell to 3.9% from 4.1% in the market and 4.2% in November, while the U6 underemployment rate fell to 7.3% from 7. .7% revised down in November, both closing pre-pandemic levels. It should be noted, however, that the disappointment led by the NFP has been largely offset by the unemployment and underemployment rates in the U6 age group, which appear to be challenging market sentiment during the period recent times. As a result, market bets on the Fed’s March 2022 rate hike remain at 80%, following Friday’s increase to 90% prior to data. Returning home, Okinawa, Hiroshima and Yamaguchi prefectures are seeing new virus activity restrictions starting Sunday, lasting until January 31. An increase in infections that the governors their say is derived from the spread of the Omicron variant in US facilities,” said Kyodo News. Elsewhere, struggles between the United States and China continued, recently over trade and human rights issues, as the Russia-Ukraine issue drew attention ahead of Washington’s meeting in Moscow this week. Between those games, S&P 500 futures are down 0.20% while non-Japanese Asia Pacific stocks trade mixed at press time. Read Full News : Daily & Weekly Analysis on XtreamForex
  10. NZD/USD slides to over two week low, below mid0.6700s amid stronger USD/risk off The NZD/USD pair endured dropping floor via the early European consultation and dropped to over a two-week low, under mid-0.6700s within side the ultimate hour. The pair prolonged the preceding day`s retracement slide from the 0.6835-forty place and witnessed heavy promoting all through the primary 1/2 of of the buying and selling on Thursday. The US greenback became again in call for following the discharge of especially hawkish FOMC assembly mins on Wednesday. Apart from this, the risk-off impulse in addition benefitted the safe-haven dollar and drove flows far from the perceived riskier kiwi. The December 14-15 FOMC financial coverage assembly mins pointed to a faster-than-predicted upward thrust in hobby rates. Moreover, a few Fed officers additionally notion that it’d be suitable to provoke stability sheet runoff in some unspecified time in the future after the primary increase. This underscored a massive shift with within the policymakers’ tone, which, in turn, became visible as a key thing that endured appearing as a tailwind for the USD. Meanwhile, the market was quick to assess an approximately 80% chance of a 25bp Fed hike in March 2022. This was reflected in the prolonged sell-off in the US bond market, pushing up government bond yields Long-term US – 10 and 30 years – to their highest levels since October. In addition, concerns about the rapid spread of the Omicron variant have sparked a new wave of risk-averse global trading. A combination of factors put a lot of pressure on the NZD/USD pair, resulting in a few short-term trading stops placed near the 0.6800 round figures. Therefore, a further drop to the 2021 tough low, around the 0.6700 mark reached on December 15, now looks a clear possibility. The negative outlook is reinforced by bearish technical indicators, which are still far from being in oversold territory. Read Full News : Daily & Weekly Analysis on XtreamForex
  11. NZD/USD sellers attack 0.6800 as yields, New Zealand corona virus cases drop NZD/USD maintained yesterday’s downtrend and dropped to 0.6800 during Wednesday’s Asian session. In doing so, the Kiwi pair discourages positive news regarding the coronavirus at home amid widespread pessimism about the virus. Stronger expectations of the Fed slated to raise rates in 2022 are also putting downward pressure on the listing. While reporting 46 new community cases of Covid19 in New Zealand, the NZ Herald said: ‘during the holiday period. On the other hand, “China reported 197 confirmed new corona virus cases on December 28, up from 209 cases a day earlier, its health authorities said on Wednesday,” according to Reuters. It should be noted that the UK is reporting a record number of daily infections, exceeding 122,000 a day after authorities ruled out any further activity restrictions for the rest of 2021. France joins with 179 807 new confirmed cases, making it the world’s heaviest daily toll. Elsewhere, “The average number of new COVID19 cases in the United States has increased by 55% to more than 205,000 per day over the past seven days,” according to a Reuters tally. Additionally, Australia’s most populous state of New South Wales (NSW) reported a doubling of fallopian tube infections on Tuesday, with 11,201 new infections and three deaths from the virus. Inflation expectations in the United States remain close to monthly highs, according to 10-year breakeven inflation data from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. and weigh in on the NZD/USD price. That said, the US released mixed data a day earlier, with the US home price index falling below the 1.2% forecast at 1.1% in October, while The S&P/Case Shiller home price index fell 19.5% ahead of 18.4%, against 18.5% of market consensus. . However, the Richmond Fed manufacturing index for December broke the adjusted number, rising from 12.00 to 16.00%. Amid those games, the 10-year US Treasury yield remains under pressure at 1.475% while the two-year benchmark, which hit its highest since March 2020, is also hovering at 0.746%. Additionally, the S&P 500 Futures index showed slight gains, while the latest Asia-Pacific stocks traded mixed. Read Full News : Daily & Weekly Analysis on XtreamForex
  12. USD/CAD consolidates losses around weekly lows below 1.2800 as oil eases from monthly high USD/CAD is struggling to regain the 1.2800 level while healing yesterday during Tuesday’s Asian session. The loonies seem to be watching the end of the risk-on mood as well as the decline in the price of Canada’s main export, WTI crude, to challenge the one-week drop from yearly highs. A question of previous optimism regarding the South African variant of covid, namely Omicron, as well as the lack of major updates, could be responsible for the recent disruption due to the weakening of the US dollar. Even so, the market holiday vibe joins the light news feed to challenge the pair’s momentum. USD/CAD is struggling to regain the 1.2800 level while healing yesterday during Tuesday’s Asian session. The loonies seem to be watching the end of the risk-on mood as well as the decline in the price of Canada’s main export, WTI crude, to challenge the one-week drop from yearly highs. A question of previous optimism regarding the South African variant of covid, namely Omicron, as well as the lack of major updates, could be responsible for the recent disruption due to the weakening of the US dollar. Even so, the market holiday vibe joins the light news feed to challenge the pair’s momentum. It should be noted that an increase in virus cases and fears of falling oil prices could challenge USD/CAD sellers in the absence of a major catalyst. Even so, data from US housing and Richmond Fed Manufacturing will come ahead of the American Petroleum Institute’s weekly prints of industry inventories to guide USD/CAD volatility in the short term. Read Full News : Daily & Weekly Analysis on XtreamForex
  13. XAU/USD hits $1,814 hurdle as Omicron weighs profits Gold (XAU/USD) shows slight gains around $1,810 on a dismal Monday morning. The yellow metal welcomed the weakening of the US dollar, as well as low Treasury yields to produce the latest gains around monthly highs, flashed on Dec. 17. That gives The US Dollar Index (DXY) fell 0.08% to 96.10 as 10-year US Treasury yields fell 1.1 basis points (bps) to 1.482%, falling back to highs the most in two weeks reached a day before. In contrast, S&P 500 Futures are up 0.11% on the day to around 4,720 by press time. Mixed concerns about the COVID19 variant in South Africa, specifically Omicron, join with cautious optimism surrounding US President Joe Biden’s Build Back to Better (BBB) plan, which promotes boost the recent risk-on mood. According to a Mastercard report, China’s industrial profits and an update from the US show an uptick in US retail sales data. However, the lack of key data/events joining the holiday mood in New Zealand, Australia, Canada and the UK seems to be holding back market movements. It should be noted that the Dallas Fed manufacturing index for December, expected at 13.2 versus 11.8 previously, could offer intermediate moves in a sluggish session expected. A sharp rise beyond the 200DMA gives gold buyers hope of overcoming the two-month horizontal barrier around $181,416 despite the holiday mood. After that, the double tops marked in July and September around $1,834 will return to the chart before $1,850 can challenge the bulls planning a break above the November highs. is $1,877. Meanwhile, the ascending support line from August around $1,778 is added to bearish filters below the 200DMA level of $1,797. Read Full News : Daily & Weekly Analysis on XtreamForex
  14. XAU/USD hangs at 100DMA ahead of US data Gold prices have remained steady so far in Asian trading on Wednesday, hovering around the daily moving average (DMA). The shiny metal lacks a clear direction, in the absence of a new catalyst, as attention now turns to US CB consumer confidence data for more impetus. Persistent concerns about the rise of Omicron covid variants in Europe, Australia and the UK continue to emerge amid a diminishing market situation over the holidays. Technically, gold prices remain confined between the major DMAs, with the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) still hovering at 50.00, showing the acumen of gold traders. Gold (XAU/USD) remains slightly offered around $1,790, up for the second day in a row during Wednesday’s Asian session. Even so, the metal has not kept up with other risk barometers, such as Antipodeans and WTI, in depicting the mood at risk. The reason could be related to the cautious market sentiment ahead of the US data series as well as the bearish chart trend. The refusal by global policymakers of lockdown measures ahead of the Christmas holidays, despite the latest spread of the covid variant in South Africa, known as Omicron, seems to have boosted sentiment. . US President Joe Biden’s expectations for the completion of the “Build Back Better (BBB)” plan and vaccine/treatment optimism are also positive for gold. Although Texas reported its first Omicron-related death in the United States, President Joe Biden curtailed any nationwide embargo, as previously revealed, while promoting vaccination faster. Similarly, cautious optimism emanates from the Pacific countries and the United Kingdom. In addition, news that the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) will allow a duo of drugs Pfizer and Merck to treat Covid19 earlier this week, according to Bloomberg sources, also added to the increase mood at risk. In addition, “President Biden said Tuesday that he believes there is still room to achieve his Better Build Back program, despite Senator Joe Manchin’s opposition to the spending bill social and climate goals,” said The Hill. In contrast, inflation expectations rose in the United States, as measured by the 10-year breakeven inflation point according to data from the Federal Reserve of St. Louis (FRED), ahead of key US data from this week challenges gold buyers. In addition, the struggles between China-US and the US-Russia add to the downward trend in gold prices. Read Full News : Daily & Weekly Analysis on XtreamForex
  15. The NZD / USD have struggled to benefit from a modest rebound from its year-to-date lows and is stable around 0.6725 NZD/USD held around the 0.6725 region in the early European session, although it seems to be struggling to capitalize on the intraday bounce from the current year lows. The pair once again succeeded in attracting buying near the round-figure 0.6700 mark on Tuesday and so far appears to have broken two consecutive days of losses. The strong recovery in risk sentiment globally – as evidenced by the positive rally in equity markets – is seen as a key factor in favor of the higher risk-aware kiwi. Additionally, the US dollar’s moderate price action extended additional support for the NZD/USD pair. That said, the hawkish outlook from the Fed, coupled with a slight rise in US Treasury yields, acts as a headwind for the greenback. It should be remembered that the Fed announced last Wednesday that it will double the rate of taper to $30 billion per month. Additionally, so-called dot plots have indicated that officials expect to raise the federal funds rate at least three times over the next year. Additionally, COVID19 anxiety capped gains in the NZD/USD pair. Investors remain concerned about the possibility of a recession due to the rapid spread of the Omicron coronavirus variant. Alternatively, a fatal blow to US President Joe Biden’s massive $1.75 trillion in social spending and the climate bill could stave off any upside moves in the market. Conversely, this warrants some caution before confirming that the NZD/USD pair has bottomed in the near term and positioning for any further upside. Read Full News : Daily & Weekly Analysis on XtreamForex
  16. AUD/JPY remains important in 80.70S the risk-free market AUD/JPY drops at the start of the week as risk-on risks continue to reverberate following Friday’s sell-off on Wall Street. At the time of this writing, AUD/JPY is down around 0.3% and sits between 80.73 and 81.04. 4,444 US stocks fell on Friday following news of the latest spike in COVID19 cases affecting the economic outlook. The S&P 500 index fell 1% to 4,620.64, ending the session 1.9 percent lower on Friday, and futures fell similarly in Asia. Omicron variants are spreading “at lightning speed” in Europe, and medical professionals have warned of the “virus snowstorm” powered by Omicron, which is sweeping the United States. US President Joe Biden talked about “a winter of serious illness and death” among unvaccinated people. The Omicron variant of Covid19 has “extraordinary ability to spread,” said a major US infectious disease expert on Sunday, promising to bring a dark winter as it “dominates the world.” In New York State on Friday, new daily records were reported with just over 21,000 new COVID 19 cases. In addition, consumer reaction to the Omicron epidemic in the UK suggests that the US service sector will also have a bad time despite the holiday season. Read Full News : Daily & Weekly Analysis on XtreamForex
  17. USD/JPY holds near 113.60 on steady hand at BoJ USD/JPY remains on the defensive as the European session approaches and was last seen trading near three-day lows, around mid-113.00. After struggling to find bullish acceptance above the 114.00 mark, USD/JPY sold off on Thursday and reversed the previous day’s FOMC move to monthly highs. A softer risk tone has benefited the safe-haven Japanese yen and put some pressure on the pair for the second straight day on Friday. Investors remain concerned about the economic risks associated with the rapid spread of the Omicron coronavirus variant and the imposition of new restrictions in Europe and Asia. This is evident due to weaker trading sentiment in global equity markets, forcing investors to seek refuge in traditional safe-haven assets. The flight to safety was bolstered by further declines in US Treasury yields, which left the US dollar bulls on the defensive. This is seen as another factor behind the tone given around the USD/JPY pair. The intraday drop appeared unaffected by the announcement of the Bank of Japan (BoJ) policy decision. The BoJ left its monetary policy parameters unchanged at the end of the December meeting, but decided to reduce the stimulus package in the event of a pandemic by the end of March 2022 deadline. That said, the decision. Emergency pandemic funding cuts have entered the market and, as such, have failed to provide a significant boost to the USD/JPY pair. In a press conference after the meeting, BoJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda reaffirmed that the central bank remains ready to ease monetary policy further without hesitation if necessary. Kuroda added that there is high uncertainty about the impact of the spread of the Omicron variant and there is a need to monitor the risks associated with congestion. Read Full News : Daily & Weekly Analysis on XtreamForex
  18. WTI integrated Fed and EIA stocked over US $ 71.00 recovery in mixed sentiment WTI flattened its biggest daily rise of the week at the beginning of Thursday, dropping 0.07% to $ 71.30 that day. The recent fall in black gold may be related to cautious market sentiment and various concerns prior to major central bank meetings and PMI announcements. However, the previous day’s rebound is related to the Energy Information Administration’s (EIA) limited weekly inventory data and the Federal Reserve’s (FRB) bullish reaction to faster throttles and higher dot plots. There is a possibility. The deteriorating viral condition in Europe and the United Kingdom has joined the extension of the US-China Cold War to squeeze recent oil prices. It is worth noting that US pressure on Uighurville and the rush to manage Beijing’s data companies are the latest catalysts for the US-China struggle. The cautious mood for the European Central Bank (ECB) and Bank of England (BOE) meetings and the provisional PMI in December also weigh heavily on oil prices. We are looking for a clear direction as US 10-year Treasury yields fluctuate after a two-day uptrend as US equity futures boom. On Wednesday, The results of weekly EIA crude oil inventory fluctuations fell from 20.82 million to 45.84 million, more than double the forecast for the reporting period to 10 December and the signs of a rate hike in 2022. A statement by federal chief Jerome Powell, such as “Omicron’s variant poses a risk to the outlook,” and a view to abandoning rate hikes until the taper ends. Looking to the future, WTI traders need to be aware of short-term directional risk catalysts. Read Full News : Daily & Weekly Analysis on XtreamForex
  19. XAU/USD bounces with USD 1,770 support and Fed is in focus Gold (XAU/USD) is stable at around $ 1,772 and cannot recover from four months of support at the beginning of Wednesday. The price of the gold bar has fallen over the past two days amid growing concerns about a South African Covid variant known as Omicron and the limited hope of the Federal Reserve Board (FRB). But while vaccine news has questioned the issue of the virus, the continued decline in US inflation expectations and the surge in coronavirus infections have led to the Fed’s hawks during today’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). May stop. According to a model shared by ABC News, Australia’s most populous state of New South Wales produces 25,000 new Covid cases daily, while the UK has more hospitalizations for Omicron and a shortage of rapid test kits. There is a possibility. Elsewhere, China and Europe appear to be suffering from a variant of COVID 19, but Japan is about to be optimistic. In addition, Pfizer reports that the three shots of the vaccine are 70% more effective and 33% safer for infection than hospitalization at Omicron. The drug company also reported that the experimental COVID 19 pill, Paxlovid, is effective in tame all variants of Covid, including Omicron. Conversely, US Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED) data show that US inflation expectations, measured at 10-year breakeven inflation, have fallen to 11-week lows, in contrast to record-high producers. is. November Price Index (PPI) for testing Federal Reserve Bank hawks. “We expect the monthly pace to double from $ 15 billion to $ 30 billion, which is in line with the end of quantitative easing in mid-March rather than mid-June. Authorities also said in a statement, economic forecasts. , May use a scatter chart change to convey a more aggressive tone. The median is expected to show a 50 basis point increase in fund interest rates in 2022, “TD Securities said. Elsewhere, geopolitical and trade tensions between the United States and China, and between the United States and Iran also emphasize market sentiment, but face a slight reaction from the Fed. Read Full News : Daily & Weekly Analysis on XtreamForex
  20. EUR/USD is still at risk of Omicron Covid EUR/USD fell on prospects that the EU will become the epicenter of the new covid strain, Omicron. As of this writing, EUR/USD is trading from 1.1277 to the lows of 1.1273 and 1.1286, with little or no change throughout the day in the early-week range. According to the European Center for Disease Control and Prevention (ECDC), at least 6,430 cases of the strain have been confirmed in 70 countries since the discovery in late November. This option is said to be becoming dominant in Europe. Although European countries first reported cases of the disease, this strain has not yet been found across the continent. Meanwhile, concerns over new options boosted risk sentiment on Monday and the FTSE 100 closed 0.73% lower at 654. The S&P 500 closed 0.9% lower at 4,668.97 on similar margins. The Nasdaq Composite Index fell 1.4% to 15,413.28, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.9% to 35,650.95. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury fell 8 basis points to 1.41%, and the yield on the 2-year Treasury bond fell 3 basis points to 0.63%. EUR/USD reduced the loss to around 25 pips to 1.1290. This week the central bank will be in the spotlight. “Until now, the European Central Bank (ECB) considered inflation to be temporary, but it is becoming more and more elastic,” said ANZ Bank analyst. The analyst continued: “The US Federal Reserve has recently changed its mind on inflation and it is very likely that the ECB will change its stance at its meeting later this week. Inflation in the euro area is high, with consumer prices currently at a record 4.9%, well above the 2% target.” “Unlike the United States, the economic recovery in Europe is much more fragile and the region is currently experiencing a wave of omicron cases. At this stage, the ECB expects inflation to fall to 1.5% in 2023 and will soon release its inflation forecast for 2024, analysts explained. Read Full News : Daily & Weekly Analysis on XtreamForex
  21. AUD/USD holds up to 0.7170 despite new sentiment challenge AUD/USD fell to 0.7120 after hitting a one-week high in Wednesday’s early Asian session. A new challenge to the pre-risk sentiment before is bullish, but the Australian technical breakout of a major hurdle gives buyers hope in a quiet session with no significant data/events. AUD/USD is rallying to its weekly high after two days of gains. Yields have fallen and US stock futures remain moderate amid mixed concerns. America, Russia and Sino-American Stories are battling a retreat from the horrors of Omicron. A bright calendar, market expectations for Friday’s US CPI, indicates risk factors for a new impulse. The US warns Russia of sanctions and aids Ukraine with military force if the Kremlin invades Kiev. A senior US State Department official said on Tuesday that the Biden administration was “focused on how to respond to the new German government if Russia invades Ukraine.” A US State Department official said on Tuesday. Reuters. The US boycott of the 2022 Beijing Olympics is a bad sign for China, as Dragon Nation warns Washington of the consequences. In addition, concerns about companies facing a real estate crisis in China, such as Evergrande and Kaisa, are waning market optimism. In contrast, easing concerns over the South African strain of coronavirus, dubbed Omicron, and hopes for further stimulus from China are encouraging AUD/USD buyers. Against this backdrop, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield surged to 1.47%, down 2 basis points to 1.47% in two days, and S&P 500 futures struggling to keep up with the monthly benchmark. Continually, the lack of critical data/events keeps the risk catalyst in the driver’s seat. However, the latter risk factor could trigger the consolidation of AUD/USD gains due to the state of the risk indicator for that pair. AUD/USD broke through the major barriers north of around 0.7110, which consists of the 10DMA and the upper line of the 5-week-old downtrend channel. However, the MACD signal shows a bearish bias decline and the RSI is rebounding again from its oversold zone, and the pair’s recovery is breaking out of the horizontal zone, including around 0.6990 recorded in November 2020 and December 2021. Thus, AUD/USD bullish is set to wrestle with the 0.7170 resistance that spanned the September lows and last week’s highs. Read Full News : Daily & Weekly Analysis on XtreamForex
  22. How might Reserve Bank of Australia decision on Interest rates affect AUD/USD? As with the first Tuesday of every month, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is ready to announce its latest monetary policy meeting and interest rate decision around 03:30 GMT. The RBA is expected to keep its benchmark interest rate at 0.10% and unchanged its weekly $40 billion bond purchases. Weaker recent third-quarter inflation data from Australia and a stronger wage price index appear to help policymakers keep the status quo. However, due to concerns arising from the South African covid variant, AUD/USD traders should pay close attention to the RBA exchange rate table for clear guidance given the oversold trend of the Australian currency pair near its 2021 lows. Key notes: AUD/USD Price Analysis: Bulls hope to test the 0.71 AUD/USD pattern. RBA Reserve Bank of Australia further declines, risk-free preview: market participants await more stringent hints AUD/USD reached an intraday high near 0.7055 ahead of a major RBA decision early on Tuesday. The Australian currency pair appears to be cautiously preparing for RBA commentary which may be depressing amid bullish markets. It should be noted, however, that Australian Health Minister Greg Hunt has recently welcomed the introduction of a coronavirus vaccine in Australia, thus implying a more robust RBA statement. However, AUD/USD traders will pay little attention to the RBA’s ruling unless the central bank cites significant catalysts or hints for a decline in bond buying in February. Still, optimism about the country’s vaccination program could help the couple maintain their recent gains after monetary policy decisions. Technically, AUD/USD is holding from the November 2020 bottom in RSI oversold conditions. However, the correction retreat remains within the 5-week trend downtrend channel. The August 2021 bottom near 0.7105 attracts short-term buyers ahead of the event, while the convergence of 10DMA and the upper line of the specific channel near 0.7125 are tough nuts for the bulls. Read Full News : Daily & Weekly Analysis on XtreamForex
  23. AUD / USD defends 0.7000, prepares for RBA omissions, PBOC RRR falls in stronger yields The AUD / USD rose slightly to 0.701015 during the Asian session on Monday, licking the wounds after the sharp daily decline since early May. Optimistic views on the Australian economy, expectations for a rate cut by the People’s Bank of China (PBOC), and tomorrow’s Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) as Fed linked chatter dragged the Australian pair to new lows in 2021. Preparations recently police officers. Careful optimism in the market can be on the same line. Prior to the RBA meeting, Bloomberg released a poll stating that “The Reserve Bank of Australia is likely to be the last meeting of the year.” On the other hand, ANZ said: “China’s Prime Minister Li Keqiang has promised the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to reduce the reserve requirement ratio (RRR) without specifying a date. Possible reconstruction by default.” In addition to RBA and PBOC chatter, optimistic printouts of second-tier data at home also supported the AUD / USD price. However, Australia’s TD stock inflation rate rose more than 0.2% to 0.3% in November, with ANZ job ads rising from 6.2% last month to 7.4%. In addition, the hope of finding a cure for a variant of South Africa’s Covid known as Omicron is less dangerous than initially feared, adding to rumors that it has fueled market sentiment and AUD / USD prices increase. After first hitting Europe and the United Kingdom, the virus strains are strengthening their grip to reach major world countries such as the United States and China. However, it should be noted that scientists around the world are optimistic about treatments. Recently, senior US doctor Anthony Fauci has confirmed that Pfizer’s drug against Omicron is effective. Meanwhile, the news that chewing gum can contain the spread of the virus and the UK’s treatment efforts are also hopeful for distributors. In addition, Australian Finance Minister Josh Frydenberg’s comment was positive for the AUD / USD rate. According to Reuters, policymakers may revise Australia’s 2022 GDP forecast during a mid-year budget update. It is noteworthy that prices fell sharply on Friday as the US dollar suffered a sudden drop in non-farm payroll (NFP) while trading the unemployment rate collapse. Expectations for the Federal Reserve’s rate hike were also raised by comments from President St. James Bullard. “We may consider raising interest rates before the cut is complete,” policymakers said. Wall Street’s benchmark closed negative, but Friday’s US Treasury 10-year yield fell about 10 basis points (bps) to 1.35%, the lowest level since late September. In the future, risk catalysts and pre-RBA sentiment could boost AUD / USD prices on a bright calendar. Read Full News : Daily & Weekly Analysis on XtreamForex
  24. NZD/USD stays directed towards 0.6710 supports after softer China data, US NFP eyed NZD/USD remained bearish near the intraday low of 0.6786 since the Chinese Caixin PMI released early on Friday. At the same time, the kiwi pair reflects disappointing market sentiment and also responds to soft data ahead of key data on US non-farm payroll (NFP). China Caixin Services PMI for November fell to 52.1 from below 53.8, and the composite PMI also fell to 51.2 from 51.5 in the same month. At the same time, indicators of private activity differ from the official values published earlier this week. Much of the bearish sentiment is adding to the broader strength of the US dollar in hopes of a faster contraction in the Federal Reserve after politicians appeared hawkish in their final speech before the silence began this Saturday. Key proponents of easing faster paybacks, which also fuel fears of inflation, include San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank (FRS) Governors Mary Daley and Thomas Barkin Richmond. Fed’s hawkish outlook, as well as a weaker-than-expected result for the week’s early and ongoing US unemployment claims, a dismal job cut for November applicants, also reinforced hopes for a faster austerity policy and favorable returns from the Fed. The Wall Street indicator also posted a consolidated weekly loss the previous day, but it should be noted that S&P 500 futures and Asia Pacific stocks fell earlier on Friday. The reason may have to do with the hopes of US politicians to avoid a government shutdown on Saturday. Also positive for kiwi prices may be recent optimism about the search for a cure for a South African strain of coronavirus called Omicron. Meanwhile, Beijing’s remarks about the EUUS’s recent dislike of China and the first phase of trade negotiations and tariffs seem to challenge risk appetite. In a similar vein, caution has been created ahead of the US employment report. Read Full News : Daily & Weekly Analysis on XtreamForex
  25. USD/JPY pair may return to 113.00 amid falling yields USD/JPY rebounded to 113.00 during its first open in Tokyo on Thursday, struggling to defend its first of a three-day advance. The yen appears to be receiving signals from the dollar’s rebound and a surge in global market volatility reflecting recent moves. But the Fed’s next move and eagerness to put safety at risk amid mixed fears of the Omicron crisis are keeping the Japanese currency at the top of the safe haven list and raising doubts among bull markets. USD/JPY hit an intraday high and fell near its two-month low, during the pre-NFP trade downturn, markets are sluggish and mixed signals from the Fed add to the hesitation. The US is considering extending the shelf life of masks after marking the first Omicron case. The OECD is downgrading its global growth projections, with Japan’s GDP expected to rise to 1.8% in 2021 from 2.5% in previous projections. While reiterating concerns about inflation, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said he still believes inflation will “fall significantly” in the second half of 2022, while speaking out against a Senate committee. In contrast, New York Federal Reserve Governor John C. Williams said the New York Times said Omicron could extend the supply-demand mismatch, leaving some inflationary pressure. The 10-year Treasury yield is under pressure near its two-month low at around 1.42% at the time of release, while S&P 500 futures are trading up 0.30% since the Wall Street benchmarks released. But the promise of safety is supported by the latest news about corona virus options in South Africa. Following the first Oh Micron incident in the United States, the Joe Biden administration has put pressure on people to expand the rules for wearing masks on public transportation. “The administration of President Joe Biden will extend the requirement for travelers to wear masks on planes, trains, buses, and airports and train stations by mid-March to address the current risk of Omicron as reported by Reuter. Add to that risk shift and could be the latest economic forecast from the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), which suggests that global GDP will grow by 5.6% in 2021 (previously 5.7%) and 4.5% in 2022. According to Reuters, it is 3.2% in 2023. Read Full News : Daily & Weekly Analysis on XtreamForex
  26. USD/JPY is recovering from a nearly two-month low and is climbing above the 113.00s mid-point USD/JPY maintained its footing in pre-European trading and last traded near its daily high at 113.60. After overnight volatile price movements, the USD/JPY pair gained some positive dynamics on Wednesday and found support from several factors. Global risk sentiment has stabilized slightly as investors decide to wait and see if the new strain of Omicron corona virus will ultimately hamper the economic recovery. This is evidenced by a good recovery in the stock market, which weakened the safe Japanese yen and acted as a headwind for major currencies. Key Notes: The combination of supporting factors continued to help USD/JPY recover from a two-month low. A modest recovery in risk sentiment eroded the safe yen and maintained the favor. The bulls also sensed a rise in US bond yields, but a devaluation of the US dollar could limit returns The Bulls also turned to a subsequent rebound in US Treasury yields, helped by restrictive comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. When testifying in front of the Senate Banking Commission, Powell said it was time to get off the floor and it would be appropriate to consider ending the asset purchase expansion perhaps a few months earlier. He added that the risk of persistently high inflation is increasing and high inflation is expected by next year. In response to Chairman Powell’s remarks, short-term financial markets have begun evaluating the possibility of a rate hike of at least 50 basis points through the end of 2022. This, in turn, was seen as a key factor in continuing to support US bond yields. Despite interest rate hikes driven by more aggressive Fed tightening, the US dollar has so far struggled to entice meaningful purchases. This could deter traders from displaying aggressive bullishness and limit the continued recovery of the USD/JPY pair from its near two-month low. Market participants are now eagerly awaiting US economic reports including ADP report and ISM manufacturing PMI. A joint speech by FRS Chairman Jerome Powell and US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen at the House Financial Services Committee is also expected to affect the strength of the dollar. Going forward, traders will consider developments surrounding the coronavirus saga and broader market risk sentiment to capitalize on some of the opportunities associated with the USD/JPY pair. Read Full News : Daily & Weekly Analysis on XtreamForex
  27. Options market USD/CAD turns most bearish in last two weeks & expecting volatility in future WTI crude fell to $70.40 in an early two-day rally on Tuesday. While the 2-day symmetrical triangle limits Black Gold’s recent move, adding 50 HMA to the RSI’s decline and the upper barrier is encouraging for sellers. However, a clear downward break of the triangular support level near $69.20 at the time of issue was necessary for oil sellers to regain control. After that, a Friday low of $68.30 will attract the market’s attention before lowering the WTI bearish to a September low of around $67 and a July low of around $65. On the other hand, the rise in commodity prices will be a nutritious nut around $72.00 including the triangular resistance and 50 HMA. Even if the price crosses $72, Friday’s high of $74 could provide an additional filter before oil moves up to $77.60. This implies an upside on the 25th of November. The options market scenario supports USDCAD sellers ahead of today’s testimony of Canada’s GDP and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. The reason for the bearish trend may be related to the cautious optimism of the market on Monday. However, recent doubts about the ability of the vaccine to tame a South African Covid variant known as Omicron support US $ / Canadian dollar buyers. With that in mind, the USD / CAD recorded a 0.30% daytime rise of about 1.2790 at the time of the press. Read Full News : Daily & Weekly Analysis on XtreamForex
  28. GBP/USD remains weak below 1.3350 amid omicron concerns and Brexit concerns GBP/USD is trading moderately below 1.3350, consolidating from its 11-month low of 1.3278, with risk sentiment improving slightly. Despite the risk reset, the risk remains downward biased against the majors as they continue to face the latest Omicron covid and ongoing Brexit issues. Risk sentiment took a hit in early Asia, and concerns over the latest covid variant shook the market, propelling the overall rebound of the US dollar. South Africa’s recent surge in COVID-19 cases, which appears to have been triggered by a new strain, is urging countries around the world to impose new restrictions. However, Dror Mezorah, head of the coronavirus department at Hadassah University Hospital in Ein Karem, said the clinical status of people infected with Omicron is encouraging. Despite risk recovery, sentiment around the pound can remain compromised by ongoing Brexit concerns. Vice-President of the European Commission, Margaritis Schinas, said Britain needed to resolve the post-Brexit immigration issue on Saturday. Meanwhile, French President Emmanuel Macron attacked British Prime Minister Boris Johnson in a letter tweeted Friday and accused him of being “not serious.” This is in light of the ongoing tensions surrounding the Franco-British fishery. We will continue to lead the update of Omicron Covid variants and their impact on risk sentiment on Monday’s UK and US economic calendars. Investors are trying to reassess the Bank of England’s (BOE) rate hike expectations in light of recent Covid claims. This could be a further downside to the UK currency. Read Full News : Daily & Weekly Analysis on XtreamForex
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